Donald Trump Will Win Tonight’s Debate

Donald Trump will win tonight’s debate…..

Yup, that’s right!

The man with no real grasp of foreign affairs or how government works or how trade deficits work; will win tonight’s debate against Hillary Clinton and it’s very simple.

All Trump will have to do is seem normal, that’s it!

In saying this, I am not saying that Trump will be the next president of the United States. We have already seen that a first debate win doesn’t necessarily translate into residency at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue (See Mitt Romney 2012).

If Trump can refrain from talking about the size of his hands, and WWE style vignettes he can endear himself those who can’t stand Clinton and just need a coherent reason not to vote for her. The problem is can Trump contain himself? Can he resist the urge to not be the SHOW?

Who knows, but it should be interesting tonight.

 

As always….

If there is something to be said, “It’s On Broadway” to step up and say it!!

 

The Mitt Romney Documentary

image

“Mitt”, the documentary released on Netflix was supposed to be a look at Mitt Romney behind the scenes of the 2008 and 2012 campaigns. While you get an interesting look into Mitt leading the into debates against President Obama, there is not a whole lot the documentary offers you into who Mitt Romney really is.

There was a couple of interesting moments between Mitt and his inner circle (family) before and after debates. You get a glimpse inside the Romney camp after the 1st debate, where their confidence was sky-high. The 2nd debate it falls apart for Team Romney, the confusion about concerning Benghazi and whether or not the president called it an act of terror the next day in the Rose Garden; seemed to shake Romney up after the debate.

Other than that no other interesting parts as you have a brief moment of Mitt discussing taxes and the burden on small business, but that’s it. No real insight into the 47% blunder or any other major moments on the campaign trail.

I will say that the Mitt Romney in this documentary is the Mitt that should have been seen on the campaign trail. The Mitt in the documentary was a lot more real than the Mitt campaigning.

As always….

If there is something to be said, “It’s On Broadway” to step up and say it!!

Militant Mondays – Colin Powell on GOP’s “Dark Vein of Intolerance”

Colin Powell
Colin Powell

I am a big fan of Colin Powell and whenever he does an appearance/interview I try to watch; and his appearance on Meet The Press Sunday was not a disappointment for me.  Colin Powell does not shy away from the fact that he is a Republican but at the same time he is not shying away from expressing his disappointment in the party he grew up with.

I will say that I believe that the term minorities is no longer a term to be identified with a particular race but it’s more about economic status.  The 47% that Mitt Romney spoke about leaving behind is more than just Black people, it’s made up of low-income folks struggling to stay above water.  This is the group of people that so-called conservatives have forgotten.

The GOP will have to get it together if they stand to have a chance in 2016.

As always….

If there is something to be said, “It’s On Broadway” to step up and say it!!

Marco Rubio evokes Jay-Z to celebrate Gators win….

Since Mitt Romney and the GOP took that beat down on election night, they have been trying to figure out how can they make a comeback with the young and non-White vote.  Being known as the party of the angry White male will not win you any elections when it comes to the presidency.  Since November 6th we have heard Conservatives like Marco Rubio and Piyush “Bobby” Jindal talk a good game about immigration reform and being the party that reaches out to 100% of Americans and not just 53%.

In an effort to show he’s hip, Marco Rubio a graduate of University of Florida (Gators) celebrated the #4 Gators beating up interstate rivals Florida State University in college football with the following tweet:

So Rubio is a fan of Hov (Jay-Z)??

I guess you have to start somewhere…..

As always….

If there is something to be said, “It’s On Broadway” to step up and say it!!

Gov Deval Patrick, nice DNC Speech but we have to fact-check

Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick‘s speech at the Democratic National Convention (DNC) on Tuesday night was a great fiery speech that launched attacks to former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, and when I say great I am referring to how he captured the DNC audience.  I have watched Gov Patrick give tons of interviews prior to Tuesday night, and with all honesty I was shocked at the level of intensity he displayed in his speech at the DNC.  It was a good moment for Patrick and a moment that really got the DNC started, but with all speeches it’s important to look at the “facts” mentioned during the speech.

With that said below is the fact-check from The Washington Post by Dylan Matthews (@DylanMatt):

TRUE – By the time [Mitt Romney] left office, Massachusetts was47th in the nation in job creation

As Politifact has found, this stat checks out. But rankings are a terrible way of comparing job growth between states. Looking at the raw Bureau of Labor Statistics data, Massachusetts’ nonfarm payrolls grew by 0.97 percent between December 2002 and December 2006, whereas the median state, Arkansas, saw payrolls grow by 4.77 percent. So the substance of Patrick’s critique is correct. Mitt Romney did oversee decidedly lackluster job growth. Whether that’s his fault is a different question — governors have limited control over state economies.

MISLEADING – … and household income in our state was declining.

Household incomes were stagnating, and in 2006 they were a tad ($589) below their 2002 level, but in 2007 they were $1,055 above 2002 levels. If you’re going to attribute any economic outcomes to a governor — which, generally, you shouldn’t — it seems fair to include data for the year after they left office, over which they presumably have a greater impact than their successor. Patrick was right that Romney oversaw household income stagnation. But to say it was “declining” is misleading.

FALSE – [Romney] cut education deeper than anywhere else in America.

Huh? I couldn’t find evidence that Romney cut education, period. In the 2003-04 school year, Massachusetts spent $4.24 billion on education. In the 2006-07 school year, it spent $4.67 billion, according to the Census’ data. How much of this is attributable to Romney is debatable. Massachusetts’ state legislature had Democratic supermajorities in both houses, so Romney’s say over spending was limited. But this attack is difficult to substantiate.

DEBATABLE – Roads and bridges were crumbling.

This is obviously a subjective area, but many transportation experts, including Transportation Nation’s Matt Dellinger, have praised Mitt Romney’s infrastructure record as governor, due to its emphasis on “smart growth” and reducing fossil fuel consumption. The New Republic‘s Alec MacGillis has reported the same.

TRUE – Business taxes were up…

According to the Tax Foundation, the Massachusetts corporate income tax rate stayed at 9.5 percent throughout Romney’s term. But Romney enacted a 14 percent surtax in 2004, in keeping with a broader trend of raising taxes on businesses. So Patrick is right on here.

DEBATABLE – Our clean energy potential was stalled.

Again, this is subjective, but to be fair to Romney’s record, even though he withdrew from the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, a consortium of northeast states and Canadian provinces that established a cap-and-trade system for carbon emissions, he did implement new carbon regulations. Romney did oppose the Cape Wind offshore wind farm off Nantucket sound, a position he was joined in by Sen. Ted Kennedy, though Patrick himself has supported the project.

TRUE – [Massachusetts] had a structural budget deficit.

The Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center concluded that the budget for fiscal year 2008, shortly after Romney left and Patrick took over, had a structural deficit even before the economic crisis hit. “While the immediate cause of Massachusetts’ fiscal crisis is the national recession,” the report concluded. “policy choices made over the past decade created a structural deficit that have reduced the state’s ability to address the economic downturn.” It is accurate for Patrick to hit Romney on this point.

TRUE WITH A BUT – Today Massachusetts leads the nation instudent achievement…

Totally correct. NAEP tests, the national gold standard for educational assessment, showed Massachusetts to lead the nation in achievement in 2011, in most grades and subjects. But it also led in student achievement under Romney.

TRUE WITH A BUT – … health care coverage…

Massachusetts is the only state with a universal health care plan, so correct. As Sarah has reported, the uninsured rate is an astonishingly low 5.6 percent at last measuring — but that’s largely because of the health-care reforms Romney signed into law.

TRUE – … [and] energy efficiency

Right. The American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy last year ranked Massachusetts first in the nation among states for energy efficiency initiatives, besting California.

FALSE – Today we’re out of the deficit hole Mr. Romney left.

The Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center indicted Romney for his budget record, but it doesn’t leave Patrick off the hook either. He has failed, the Center judged, to produce meaningful sources of new revenue to correct the structural budget problems that his predecessors’ tax cuts created. If Patrick is going to indict Romney for his structural deficits, he should acknowledge that those structural deficits and the longer-run problems they create persist to this day.

TRUE – We’ve achieved the highest bond rating in our history.

True. Last September, S&P upgraded Massachusetts to AA+, noting that its, Moody’s, and Fitch’s ratings together gave the state “its highest credit standing in history.”

TRUE – We’ve made the reforms in our pension and benefits systems, our schools, our transportation system and more that Mr. Romney only talked about.

Patrick has indeed signed education, pension, and transportation reforms into law, though your mileage may vary as to how good their content is.

All in all it was a good “feel good” speech but in my opinion it missed the mark in FACTUALLY painting Mitt Romney as a governor who did a bad job.

As always….

If there is something to be said, “It’s On Broadway” to step up and say it!!

Pres Barack Obama’s Twitter account, “This Seats Taken”

Now that the Republican National Convention 2012 (RNC) has wrapped and Mitt Romney has accepted the Republican Nomination for President of The United States, the ball is now in the Democrats court.  The Democrats will have their moment in the sun when the Democratic National Convention officially starts September 4th.

But after 3 days of listening to the Republican hype machine tell anyone who would listen how bad President Barack Obama has been at being president; the following picture was sent from the President’s Twitter account (@BarackObama)… Oh, there was also a message that accompanied that pic:

President Barack Obama 2012

This Seat’s Taken

 

As always….

If there is something to be said, “It’s On Broadway” to step up and say it!!

 

 

Takeover Thursdays – Let’s Fact-Check Paul Ryan’s Convention Speech

Paul Ryan

So Paul Ryan aka Mr Budget had a whole lot to say Wednesday night at the Republican National Convention (RNC).  If you’re a hardcore, Liberal hating Republican you have to be thrilled with what you heard from Ryan.

But….

If you are a common sense person who prefers facts over fiction than Ryan probably pissed you off a lil bit with what he said.  Or maybe you don’t care and the only thing about Ryan that bothered you was the constant grunting/clearing throat noise he was making….  Side note I hate it when Obama constantly thumps the podium during some of his speeches, seriously dude keep your hands on the podium!

 Ok ok ok, I am getting a little off topic here.

When Ryan was announced as Mitt Romney‘s running mate I thought he was the perfect guy to help move the conversation to the economy and start having a serious discussion about long-term debt.  So needless to say I was looking forward to Ryan’s speech last night….

Unfortuantely, I was very much disappointed in what Ryan had to say.  So far in this campaign both sides had done their fair share of stretching of the truth, and for some silly reason I thought this would be the lead into serious debate.

Mannnnnn, was I wrong!!!!

Ryan continued the theme of false and misleading information, instead of elevating the conversation Ryan took on the role of attack dog and ran with it. Best believe the Obama Campaign will be working overtime to launch attack ads on Ryan’s speech.  The following is from  Dylan Matthews(@dylanmatt) article in Ezra Klein‘s (@ezraklein) WONKBLOG in The Washington Post.  He covers ‘The true, the false, and the misleading’ put together a good analysis of the key points of Ryan’s speech:

TRUE

Obama cut Medicare – Ryan blasted the cuts to Medicare reimbursements and Medicare advantage included in the Affordable Care Act. “They just took it all away from Medicare,” Ryan declared. “Seven hundred and sixteen billion dollars, funneled out of Medicare by President Obama.” That much is correct – the Affordable Care Act contained over $700 billion in cuts to Medicare reimbursement rates and Medicare advantage. The Obama administration insists the cuts will not hurt quality and are necessary to control costs, while the Romney-Ryan campaign disputes this, but the underlying claim is correct.

Obama didn’t fix the housing crisis – Ryan claimed Obama’s presidency, “began with a housing crisis they alone didn’t cause; it ends with a housing crisis they didn’t correct.” It is true that Obama did not cause the financial crisis and true that it has still not fully recovered almost four years later, as Ezra detailed in a recent column.

FALSE

A GM plant in Ryan’s district shut down on Obama’s watch – From Ryan’s speech:

My home state voted for President Obama. When he talked about change, many people liked the sound of it, especially in Janesville, where we were about to lose a major factory.

 A lot of guys I went to high school with worked at that GM plant. Right there at that plant, candidate Obama said: “I believe that if our government is there to support you … this plant will be here for another hundred years.”  That’s what he said in 2008.

 Well, as it turned out, that plant didn’t last another year.  It is locked up and empty to this day.

The decision to close the plant was made in June 2008, when George W. Bush was president. Ryan says that Janesville was “about to” lose the factory at the time of the election, and Obama failed to prevent this. This is false, as Ryan knew in 2008 when he issued a statement bemoaning the plant’s impending closing.

The stimulus was the biggest expenditure in government history – The stimulus, Paul Ryan writes, “cost $831 billion – the largest one-time expenditure ever by our federal government.” This is false any way you cut it. By comparison, the Congressional Research Service estimates (pdf) that World War II cost $4.1 trillion in 2011 dollars. That was the biggest one-time expenditure ever, not the stimulus. Ryan is simply incorrect.

The Affordable Care Act increases taxes on millions of small businesses – Paul Ryan declared that the Affordable Care Act would impose “new taxes on nearly a million small businesses.” The Act changes taxes for small businesses in three ways. It provides a tax credit (pdf) to subsidize insurance coverage for which between 1.4 and 4 million small businesses are eligible. It imposes a tax on medical device manufacturers, of which there were only 5,300 (pdf) in the United States in 2007. Finally, it imposes an employer mandate on businesses that do not provide coverage, which will not affect (pdf) businesses with under 50 employees. Most small businesses, then, get a tax cut, and the number of small businesses facing tax increases is about five thousand, far under a million. Ryan’s claim is just false.

The stimulus was full of fraud – “The stimulus was a case of political patronage, corporate welfare, and cronyism at their worst,” Ryan boomed. No it wasn’t. According to TIME’s Michael Grunwald, whose new book The New New Deal is the definitive history of the stimulus, only 0.0001 percent of stimulus funds were wasted on fraud. Grunwald quotes the stimulus’s head watchdog, Earl Devaney: “We don’t get involved in politics, but whether you’re a Democrat, Republican, communist, whatever, you’ve got to appreciate that the serious fraud just hasn’t happened.” Even in the notorious case of Solyndra, House Republican investigation chair Darrel Issa found no evidence of undue political influence. Ryan is wrong to say that the stimulus was unusually corrupt or devoted to political patronage.

The Affordable Care Act was a government takeover –  ”We got a long, divisive, all-or-nothing attempt to put the federal government in charge of health care,” Ryan stated. Nope. The Affordable Care Act greatly expands private insurance rather than implementing a truly government-run insurance system, like those in Canada and Australia, or a government-run hospital system, like that in the United Kingdom. As Jonathan Oberlander, a health policy expert at the University of North Carolina – Chapel Hill, put it, “The label ‘government takeover’ has no basis in reality, but instead reflects a political dynamic where conservatives label any increase in government authority in health care as a ‘takeover.’”

Obama doesn’t have a debt plan – On the debt, Ryan says, “Republicans stepped up with good-faith reforms and solutions equal to the problems.  How did the president respond?  By doing nothing – nothing except to dodge and demagogue the issue.” Wrong again. President Obama has released a comprehensive debt reduction plan (pdf), in response to the brewing debate in Congress. You don’t have to like it but Ryan is incorrect in stating it doesn’t exist.

MISLEADING

Obama didn’t support Bowles-Simpson’s report – “[Obama] created a bipartisan debt commission. They came back with an urgent report,” Ryan stated. “He thanked them, sent them on their way, and then did exactly nothing.” But the bipartisan debt commission itself didn’t come back with a report. There were not enough votes to agree upon recommendations, in part due to opposition from committee member, er, Paul Ryan. The statement misleads viewers by implying that Ryan supports the proposal, when he aggressively opposed it, and by using the third person to avoid noting that Ryan was on the commission and voted no.

Obama caused the debt downgrade – Paul Ryan said in his speech that Obama’s presidency “began with a perfect Triple-A credit rating for the United States; it ends with a downgraded America.” This implies that Obama was responsible for Standard and Poor’s downgrading of U.S. debt. That is false. In its report announcing the downgrade, S&P was clear that blame rested with House Republicans for making the debt ceiling increase conditional on deficit reduction. “The political brinksmanship of recent months highlights what we see as America’s governance and policymaking becoming less stable, less effective,and less predictable than what we previously believed,” the report reads. “The statutory debt ceiling and the threat of default have become political bargaining chips in the debate over fiscal policy.” It also faults Congressional Republicans for “continu[ing] to resist any measure that would raise revenues.”

Obama added more to the deficit than any other president – “President Obama has added more debt than any other president before him,” Ryan stated. As Ezra has explained, the vast majority of this debt was due either to the Bush tax cuts or the Iraq war, and only a tiny sliver due to the stimulus and other recovery measures. It is misleading to imply that Obama’s policies are primarily responsible for the size of the deficit.

As always….

If there is something to be said, “It’s On Broadway” to step up and say it!!